Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 71.738760 80.767416 90.030967 100.214726 111.064976 122.250685 134.624722
2025-02-16 57.220616 70.056613 83.855011 99.662613 117.147949 135.783886 157.035588
2025-02-23 49.162779 64.136018 80.793710 100.436269 122.716734 146.978989 175.176204
2025-03-02 42.528466 58.871742 77.632002 100.322050 126.614737 155.758578 190.150760
2025-03-09 37.617905 55.013551 75.556365 100.959685 130.935718 164.655450 204.945893
2025-03-16 32.628166 50.531771 72.296359 99.807428 132.843361 170.525208 216.072468
2025-03-23 29.651203 48.271502 71.474199 101.340359 137.715003 179.665229 230.831472
2025-03-30 27.207221 46.459551 71.013770 103.148701 142.785678 188.945422 245.690640
2025-04-06 24.025471 43.366301 68.694932 102.458897 144.682462 194.369171 255.960323
2025-04-13 20.586022 39.597267 65.243877 100.122431 144.383218 197.037979 262.871880
2025-04-20 19.645091 39.323939 66.359777 103.570942 151.200471 208.222641 279.870401
2025-04-27 18.340193 38.391046 66.498445 105.689449 156.316544 217.334077 294.400411
2025-05-04 16.037855 35.766003 64.204754 104.559569 157.331613 221.495736 303.085302
2025-05-11 13.994754 33.348659 62.056093 103.507537 158.362888 225.625380 311.705692
2025-05-18 12.706416 32.032438 61.386181 104.371391 161.797090 232.679431 323.846800
2025-05-25 11.279939 30.332738 60.050791 104.243756 163.886625 238.026546 333.888188
2025-06-01 10.185461 29.098798 59.326182 104.897916 166.954066 244.568392 345.380586
2025-06-08 8.775931 27.121156 57.357097 103.718412 167.537021 247.944141 352.950920
2025-06-15 8.092799 26.448171 57.354035 105.287285 171.747585 255.889956 366.165423
2025-06-22 7.522233 25.934799 57.564217 107.137702 176.324336 264.302163 379.972030
2025-06-29 6.516113 24.396609 56.050227 106.431882 177.416586 268.248628 388.214528
2025-07-06 5.331168 22.275863 53.454813 104.040843 176.144062 269.108698 392.561056
2025-07-13 5.210623 22.554216 54.855356 107.569728 182.969623 280.405263 410.004531